PRIMI SONDAGGI ELEZIONI UE 2019 di Maira Alcantara

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ARTICOLO OFFERTO DA HYDRASHINE IMPRESA DI PULIZIE TEL 339-1909051

26 maggio: l’Italia sarà chiamata alle urne per le elezioni di alcuni comuni ma soprattutto per eleggere i propri leadrers europei. Si dice che con queste elezioni qualcosa cambierà positivamente in Ue nel caso vincessero determinati partiti, soprattutto quelli conosciuti anche come partiti populisti, essendo essi antieuropeisti o almeno propensi per una UE differente da quella che oggi conosciamo, una Unione Europea per tutti, ad una sola velocità, nella quale ogni stato membro possa avere un certo vantaggio ad appartenerne ed una certa voce in capitolo. Se invece gli exit pool testimoniassero il contrario si pensa quindi che se dovessero vincere i partiti tradizionali, coloro che ad oggi hanno tirato le file della politica europea che l’attuale sistema politico resterà invariato. E’ facile quindi capire che in questo caso con molta probabilità si assisterà ad una continuazione sull’andamento del sistema UE come siamo abituati a vederlo, ovvio ripeto, nel caso che il popolo europeo decidesse di votare ancora una volta le coalizioni che sino ad oggi hanno governato nel bene o nel male sino ai nostri giorni. Cosa succederà quindi in Europa dopo le elezioni? Difficile dirlo con esattezza dato che da sempre le elezioni potrebbero portare ad inaspettate sorprese. Difficile pertanto fare pronostici di una certa precisione tuttavia si pensa, da come starebbero andando le cose ad un rafforzamento dei partiti populisti dato che molti dei cittadini dei paesi membri sembrerebbero stanchi del tipo di politica portata avanti dalla UE fino ad oggi e fra questi stati sarebbero compresi gli stati del sud UE quelli che certamente non fanno da padroni in un’ Europa a due velocità. Comunque sia proprio in questi giorni è stato indetto un sondaggio in modo da poter cercare di farsi un’idea su come potrebbero andare le elezioni nel nostro stato: l’Europa. In questo caso si tratterebbe di un sondaggio sul potenziale esito delle elezioni europee del prossimo 26 maggio pubblicato sul media online Affaritaliani.it un sondaggio svolto dal sondaggista Renato Mannheimer (partner Eumetra). Si tratterebbe di una stima a mio parere indicativa basata sugli ultimi sondaggi delle percentuali minime e massime delle forze politiche maggiori. In questo sondaggio ci è possibile vedere una Lega in piena volata con un buon 30-35 per cento di voti seguita dal Movimento 5 stelle con un 19-21 per cento. Al terzo posto, in netto calo quindi il Partito Democratico con una percentuale pari al partito dei pentastellati quindi 19-21 per cento, quarto posto per Fratelli d’Italia che si aggiudicherebbero stando al sondaggio il 4-6 per cento. Per il partito + Europa – Italia in comune -PD Europeo Pde Italia 2-3 per cento, Sinistra italiana 1-2 per cento Partito Comunista 1-1,5 per cento, Federazione Verdi 0,5-1 per cento Destre unite Casa Pound AEMN 0,5-1 per cento ed in coda Forza Nuova anch’ essa con uno 0.5-1 per cento. Se questo sondaggio fosse la realtà di quanto succederà dopo il 26 maggio, proiettato sull’intera UE, vedremmo un ribaltarsi dell’attuale situazione con i populisti in netto vantaggio seguiti dai tradizionali partiti di centro che subirebbero notevoli perdite di consenso. Comunque sia questo è lo scenario che il sondaggio di Affaritaliani prevede per quanto riguarda le elezioni UE in Italia, poi “fammi indovino e ti farò ricco” come dice un vecchio adagio, tuttavia quantomeno con questi pronostici sarà certamente possibile farsi un’idea sui possibili exit pool almeno su quanto uscirà dalle urne nazionali, logicamente poi sarà da vedere cosa succederà negli altri stati per poter capire cosa succederà in Europa se la politica dell’Unione rimarrà invariata oppure se potremo avere la speranza di vedere dei cambiamenti magari positivi.

Maira Alcantara
Author: Maira Alcantara

free lance generalista, incaricata anche per articoli speciali relativi a settore sport ed automobilismo storico e moderno

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